Predictions for 01-May-2018

Betting Tips

League 1
Doncaster Rovers	-v-	AFC Wimbledon	home win	Home 13/8

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Bradford City	1	1	Walsall
Doncaster Rovers	1	1	AFC Wimbledon
Scunthorpe United	1	1	Plymouth Argyle

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Chesterfield	1	1	Newport County AFC

Predictions for 30-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Tottenham Hotspur	3	0	Watford

Predictions for 29-April-2018

Betting Tips

Premier League
Manchester United	-v-	Arsenal	away win	Away 13/2

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
West Ham United	0	3	Manchester City
Manchester United	1	1	Arsenal

Predictions for 28-April-2018

Betting Tips

Premier League
Crystal Palace	-v-	Leicester City	away win	Away 13/5
Liverpool	-v-	Stoke City	home win	Home 1/3
Southampton	-v-	Bournemouth	away win	Away 19/5
Championship
Hull City	-v-	Cardiff City	home win	Home 21/10
Middlesbrough	-v-	Millwall	away win	Away 16/5
Nottingham Forest	-v-	Bristol City	home win	Home 6/4
Reading	-v-	Ipswich Town	away win	Away 3/1
Sheffield United	-v-	Preston North End	away win	Away 15/8
League 1
Bury	-v-	Portsmouth	home win	Home 16/5
Milton Keynes Dons	-v-	Scunthorpe United	home win	Home 14/5
Oldham Athletic	-v-	Doncaster Rovers	away win	Away 13/5
League 2
Accrington Stanley	-v-	Lincoln City	home win	Home 6/4
Cheltenham Town	-v-	Coventry City	home win	Home 2/1
Stevenage	-v-	Exeter City	home win	Home 5/2
Yeovil Town	-v-	Mansfield Town	home win	Home 10/3

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Liverpool	4	0	Stoke City
Burnley	1	0	Brighton and Hove Albion
Crystal Palace	1	1	Leicester City
Huddersfield Town	1	1	Everton
Newcastle United	1	0	West Bromwich Albion
Southampton	1	1	Bournemouth
Swansea City	0	3	Chelsea

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Aston Villa	3	0	Derby County
Barnsley	1	3	Brentford
Burton Albion	1	1	Bolton Wanderers
Hull City	2	1	Cardiff City
Norwich City	3	0	Leeds United
Nottingham Forest	1	1	Bristol City
Queens Park Rangers	1	1	Birmingham City
Reading	1	1	Ipswich Town
Sheffield United	1	1	Preston North End
Wolverhampton Wanderers	3	0	Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough	1	1	Millwall

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Blackpool	2	1	Shrewsbury Town
Bradford City	1	1	Southend United
Bristol Rovers	1	1	Gillingham
Bury	1	1	Portsmouth
Charlton Athletic	1	1	Blackburn Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	Scunthorpe United
Oldham Athletic	1	1	Doncaster Rovers
Oxford United	1	1	Rochdale
Peterborough United	3	1	Fleetwood Town
Plymouth Argyle	1	1	Rotherham United
Walsall	1	1	Northampton Town
Wigan Athletic	3	0	AFC Wimbledon

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Accrington Stanley	2	1	Lincoln City
Cheltenham Town	1	1	Coventry City
Chesterfield	0	1	Wycombe Wanderers
Colchester United	1	1	Swindon Town
Crawley Town	1	1	Crewe Alexandra
Grimsby Town	1	1	Notts County
Luton Town	3	0	Forest Green Rovers
Morecambe	1	1	Barnet
Newport County AFC	1	1	Cambridge United
Port Vale	1	1	Carlisle United
Stevenage	1	1	Exeter City
Yeovil Town	1	1	Mansfield Town

Predictions for 27-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Fulham	3	0	Sunderland

Predictions for 24-April-2018

Betting Tips

Championship
Nottingham Forest	-v-	Barnsley	home win	Home 19/10
League 1
Oldham Athletic	-v-	Southend United	away win	Away 16/5
Rochdale	-v-	Plymouth Argyle	away win	Away 10/3
League 2
Morecambe	-v-	Cambridge United	away win	Away 5/2

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Derby County	1	1	Cardiff City
Nottingham Forest	1	1	Barnsley

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Bradford City	1	1	Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers	0	3	Wigan Athletic
Doncaster Rovers	1	1	Blackburn Rovers
Oldham Athletic	1	1	Southend United
Rochdale	1	1	Plymouth Argyle
Shrewsbury Town	1	1	Peterborough United

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Coventry City	1	1	Lincoln City
Morecambe	1	1	Cambridge United
Newport County AFC	1	1	Accrington Stanley
Yeovil Town	1	1	Forest Green Rovers

Predictions for 23-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Everton	1	1	Newcastle United

Predictions for 22-April-2018

Betting Tips

Premier League
Stoke City	-v-	Burnley	away win	Away 5/2

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Arsenal	3	0	West Ham United
Stoke City	1	1	Burnley
Manchester City	3	0	Swansea City

Predictions for 21-April-2018

Betting Tips

Championship
Bristol City	-v-	Hull City	away win	Away 2/1
League 1
Doncaster Rovers	-v-	Oxford United	home win	Home 23/20
League 2
Barnet	-v-	Newport County AFC	away win	Away 23/10
Carlisle United	-v-	Luton Town	home win	Home 3/1
Wycombe Wanderers	-v-	Accrington Stanley	away win	Away 14/5

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
West Bromwich Albion	0	3	Liverpool
Watford	1	1	Crystal Palace

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Birmingham City	1	1	Sheffield United
Bolton Wanderers	0	1	Wolverhampton Wanderers
Brentford	3	0	Queens Park Rangers
Bristol City	1	1	Hull City
Derby County	1	1	Middlesbrough
Ipswich Town	0	2	Aston Villa
Leeds United	1	1	Barnsley
Preston North End	3	0	Norwich City
Sheffield Wednesday	2	1	Reading
Sunderland	3	0	Burton Albion
Cardiff City	3	0	Nottingham Forest

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
AFC Wimbledon	1	1	Oldham Athletic
Doncaster Rovers	3	0	Oxford United
Fleetwood Town	0	3	Wigan Athletic
Gillingham	1	1	Blackpool
Northampton Town	0	2	Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth	1	1	Charlton Athletic
Rochdale	3	0	Bradford City
Rotherham United	3	0	Bristol Rovers
Scunthorpe United	3	0	Walsall
Shrewsbury Town	3	0	Bury
Southend United	2	1	Milton Keynes Dons

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Barnet	1	1	Newport County AFC
Cambridge United	1	1	Cheltenham Town
Carlisle United	1	1	Luton Town
Crewe Alexandra	1	1	Morecambe
Exeter City	1	1	Crawley Town
Forest Green Rovers	1	1	Chesterfield
Lincoln City	1	1	Colchester United
Mansfield Town	1	1	Port Vale
Notts County	2	0	Yeovil Town
Swindon Town	3	0	Grimsby Town
Wycombe Wanderers	1	1	Accrington Stanley

Predictions for 20-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Millwall	1	1	Fulham

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Coventry City	1	0	Stevenage

Predictions for 19-April-2018

Betting Tips

Premier League
Leicester City	-v-	Southampton	home win	Home 11/8

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Burnley	0	3	Chelsea
Leicester City	3	0	Southampton

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Blackburn Rovers	3	1	Peterborough United

Predictions for 18-April-2018

Betting Tips

Premier League
Bournemouth	-v-	Manchester United	home win	Home 18/5

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Bournemouth	1	1	Manchester United

Predictions for 17-April-2018

Betting Tips

League 1
Gillingham	-v-	Rotherham United	home win	Home 13/5
Rochdale	-v-	Oldham Athletic	away win	Away 10/3
League 2
Lincoln City	-v-	Wycombe Wanderers	away win	Away 21/10

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Brighton and Hove Albion	0	3	Tottenham Hotspur

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Bradford City	1	1	Portsmouth
Doncaster Rovers	3	0	Bury
Gillingham	1	1	Rotherham United
Rochdale	1	1	Oldham Athletic
Shrewsbury Town	1	1	Charlton Athletic
Wigan Athletic	3	0	Oxford United

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Accrington Stanley	3	0	Yeovil Town
Exeter City	1	1	Chesterfield
Lincoln City	1	1	Wycombe Wanderers

Predictions for 16-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
West Ham United	3	1	Stoke City

Predictions for 15-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Newcastle United	1	2	Arsenal
Manchester United	3	0	West Bromwich Albion

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Wolverhampton Wanderers	3	0	Birmingham City

Predictions for 14-April-2018

Betting Tips

Championship
Norwich City	-v-	Cardiff City	home win	Home 21/10
Reading	-v-	Sunderland	away win	Away 2/1
League 1
Bury	-v-	Northampton Town	home win	Home 21/20
League 2
Crawley Town	-v-	Coventry City	home win	Home 3/1
Morecambe	-v-	Carlisle United	home win	Home 5/2
Port Vale	-v-	Lincoln City	home win	Home 5/2
Stevenage	-v-	Cambridge United	home win	Home 13/8

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Southampton	0	3	Chelsea
Burnley	1	1	Leicester City
Crystal Palace	2	1	Brighton and Hove Albion
Huddersfield Town	1	1	Watford
Swansea City	1	1	Everton
Liverpool	3	0	Bournemouth
Tottenham Hotspur	1	1	Manchester City

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Sheffield United	1	1	Millwall
Barnsley	2	1	Bolton Wanderers
Burton Albion	0	2	Derby County
Hull City	3	0	Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough	3	0	Bristol City
Norwich City	1	1	Cardiff City
Nottingham Forest	1	1	Ipswich Town
Queens Park Rangers	1	1	Preston North End
Reading	1	1	Sunderland
Fulham	2	1	Brentford

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Blackpool	3	0	Fleetwood Town
Bristol Rovers	0	3	Blackburn Rovers
Bury	3	0	Northampton Town
Charlton Athletic	2	1	Scunthorpe United
Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	Doncaster Rovers
Oldham Athletic	1	1	Gillingham
Oxford United	1	1	Southend United
Peterborough United	2	1	Rochdale
Plymouth Argyle	1	1	Portsmouth
Walsall	1	1	AFC Wimbledon
Wigan Athletic	3	1	Rotherham United

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Chesterfield	1	1	Mansfield Town
Accrington Stanley	3	0	Exeter City
Cheltenham Town	3	1	Forest Green Rovers
Colchester United	1	1	Notts County
Crawley Town	1	1	Coventry City
Grimsby Town	1	1	Barnet
Luton Town	3	0	Crewe Alexandra
Morecambe	1	1	Carlisle United
Newport County AFC	1	1	Swindon Town
Port Vale	1	1	Lincoln City
Stevenage	1	1	Cambridge United
Yeovil Town	1	2	Wycombe Wanderers

Predictions for 13-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Aston Villa	3	0	Leeds United

Predictions for 12-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Bradford City	1	1	Shrewsbury Town

Predictions for 11-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Wolverhampton Wanderers	2	0	Derby County

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Oldham Athletic	2	0	Walsall

How'm I doin' so far? - Part 2

I'm lacking in time to do a full update article but a full review, analysis & post-mortem of this project will likely come in the off-season. In the meantime here's an updated graph summarising success to date. At present sitting at +£13.27 from £1 stakes. 

As detailed in an earlier article, the method uses value betting. Usually my picks are longer than evens which is why I lose more bets than I win but am still making a profit.

Predictions for 10-April-2018

Betting Tips

Championship
Bolton Wanderers	-v-	Millwall	home win	Home 3/1
Bristol City	-v-	Birmingham City	away win	Away 29/10
Ipswich Town	-v-	Barnsley	home win	Home 9/5
Nottingham Forest	-v-	Brentford	away win	Away 5/4
Sheffield United	-v-	Middlesbrough	home win	Home 6/4
League 1
Blackpool	-v-	Northampton Town	home win	Home 3/4

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Aston Villa	2	1	Cardiff City
Bristol City	1	1	Birmingham City
Burton Albion	1	1	Hull City
Fulham	3	0	Reading
Ipswich Town	1	1	Barnsley
Nottingham Forest	1	3	Brentford
Preston North End	3	0	Leeds United
Queens Park Rangers	3	0	Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield United	1	1	Middlesbrough
Sunderland	1	1	Norwich City
Bolton Wanderers	1	1	Millwall

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
AFC Wimbledon	1	1	Charlton Athletic
Blackpool	3	0	Northampton Town
Gillingham	0	2	Blackburn Rovers
Oxford United	1	1	Fleetwood Town
Rochdale	0	1	Wigan Athletic

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Morecambe	1	1	Chesterfield
Stevenage	1	1	Mansfield Town
Swindon Town	3	0	Yeovil Town

Predictions for 08-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Arsenal	3	0	Southampton
Chelsea	3	0	West Ham United

Predictions for 07-April-2018

Betting Tips

Premier League
Everton	-v-	Liverpool	away win	Away 17/20
Manchester City	-v-	Manchester United	home win	Home 17/20
Watford	-v-	Burnley	away win	Away 23/10
Championship
Hull City	-v-	Queens Park Rangers	away win	Away 13/5
League 1
Blackpool	-v-	Bradford City	home win	Home 6/5
League 2
Barnet	-v-	Forest Green Rovers	away win	Away 12/5
Grimsby Town	-v-	Chesterfield	away win	Away 12/5

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Premier League

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Everton	0	3	Liverpool
Bournemouth	2	1	Crystal Palace
Brighton and Hove Albion	2	1	Huddersfield Town
Leicester City	3	0	Newcastle United
Stoke City	0	3	Tottenham Hotspur
Watford	1	1	Burnley
West Bromwich Albion	1	1	Swansea City
Manchester City	3	0	Manchester United

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Barnsley	1	1	Sheffield United
Norwich City	1	1	Aston Villa
Birmingham City	3	0	Burton Albion
Brentford	3	0	Ipswich Town
Derby County	3	0	Bolton Wanderers
Hull City	1	1	Queens Park Rangers
Leeds United	1	1	Sunderland
Middlesbrough	3	0	Nottingham Forest
Millwall	3	0	Bristol City
Reading	1	1	Preston North End
Sheffield Wednesday	0	2	Fulham

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
AFC Wimbledon	1	1	Scunthorpe United
Blackburn Rovers	3	0	Southend United
Blackpool	3	0	Bradford City
Bristol Rovers	1	1	Charlton Athletic
Gillingham	1	1	Doncaster Rovers
Oxford United	1	1	Oldham Athletic
Plymouth Argyle	1	1	Peterborough United
Rochdale	1	1	Portsmouth
Rotherham United	3	0	Fleetwood Town
Walsall	1	1	Bury
Wigan Athletic	3	0	Milton Keynes Dons

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Barnet	1	1	Forest Green Rovers
Cambridge United	1	1	Exeter City
Cheltenham Town	2	1	Morecambe
Colchester United	1	1	Accrington Stanley
Grimsby Town	1	1	Chesterfield
Mansfield Town	3	0	Crewe Alexandra
Newport County AFC	1	0	Stevenage
Notts County	1	1	Coventry City
Port Vale	2	1	Crawley Town
Swindon Town	1	1	Carlisle United
Yeovil Town	1	2	Luton Town

Predictions for 06-April-2018

No Tips Today

Nothing was identified as a good value bet for this day, come back tomorrow but here are my full predictions anyway:

Full Predictions

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Cardiff City	1	1	Wolverhampton Wanderers

Predictions for 03-April-2018

Betting Tips

League 1
Bury	-v-	Rochdale	home win	Home 12/5

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Aston Villa	3	0	Reading
Fulham	3	0	Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers	3	0	Hull City
Bolton Wanderers	1	1	Birmingham City

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Bury	1	1	Rochdale

Predictions for 02-April-2018

Betting Tips

Championship
Bristol City	-v-	Brentford	away win	Away 19/10
Nottingham Forest	-v-	Barnsley	away win	Away 11/4
League 1
Fleetwood Town	-v-	Bristol Rovers	away win	Away 19/10
League 2
Carlisle United	-v-	Lincoln City	home win	Home 17/10
Chesterfield	-v-	Newport County AFC	home win	Home 9/5
Morecambe	-v-	Cambridge United	home win	Home 17/10

Note: These tips are selected using best-value betting by comparing my calculated probability with the bookmaker's implied probability. As such they do not necessarily align with the predicted scores below and they will probably all loose.

Full Predictions

Championship

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Preston North End	1	1	Derby County
Bristol City	1	1	Brentford
Burton Albion	0	1	Middlesbrough
Ipswich Town	1	1	Millwall
Nottingham Forest	1	1	Barnsley
Queens Park Rangers	1	1	Norwich City
Sunderland	1	1	Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield United	1	1	Cardiff City

League 1

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Bradford City	1	1	Walsall
Charlton Athletic	1	1	Rotherham United
Doncaster Rovers	1	1	AFC Wimbledon
Fleetwood Town	1	1	Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons	0	3	Blackburn Rovers
Oldham Athletic	1	1	Blackpool
Peterborough United	3	0	Northampton Town
Scunthorpe United	2	1	Plymouth Argyle
Shrewsbury Town	3	0	Oxford United
Southend United	1	1	Gillingham
Portsmouth	0	1	Wigan Athletic

League 2

Home Team	Home Score	Away Score	Away Team
Accrington Stanley	3	0	Notts County
Carlisle United	1	1	Lincoln City
Chesterfield	1	1	Newport County AFC
Coventry City	3	0	Yeovil Town
Crawley Town	1	1	Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra	1	1	Port Vale
Exeter City	1	1	Cheltenham Town
Forest Green Rovers	1	1	Colchester United
Luton Town	3	0	Mansfield Town
Morecambe	1	1	Cambridge United
Stevenage	1	1	Barnet
Wycombe Wanderers	3	0	Grimsby Town